Though I understand the nervousness, with the Globes still being on TV and having a historically recognizable name, I think you should stick to your initial decision of relegation. With the Globes being on TV they have a lower threshold of proof when it comes to gaining more weight in the future, but for now they're an entirely new body of voters so they should be treated as such. Predict the Oscar winners, not the Golden Globes importance.
Though I understand the nervousness, with the Globes still being on TV and having a historically recognizable name, I think you should stick to your initial decision of relegation. With the Globes being on TV they have a lower threshold of proof when it comes to gaining more weight in the future, but for now they're an entirely new body of voters so they should be treated as such. Predict the Oscar winners, not the Golden Globes importance.