6 Comments

Will you do a technical awards post or is there not enough data from other awards to predict them?

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Hello! The model itself is only for the major awards (acting/directing/picture), but Michael will send out his full ballot before the Oscars.

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I guess I'm asking if it's possible to make the model apply to the minor awards? All I know about stats I've learned from you so if it's a stupid question then please let me know haha

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The sample size is a bit small when it comes to precursors. Walter tried it with documentaries and animated feature in his 538 days and never gained the confidence you could actually predict them using precursors.

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I love to see a tight race, but I also hope Demi Moore wins. Her "popcorn actress" speech at the Globes was very moving.

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Rooting for Mikey Madison because I can't handle The Substance (I'm squeamish!) -- Michael

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