Welcome to the Numlock Awards Supplement


I’m Walt Hickey, the writer of Numlock News, another Substack publication. I’m pleased to announce that I’m launching a supplemental newsletter with Michael Domanico of the podcast Not Her Again to serve as a clearinghouse for news and discussion about the Oscars. I spent several years working on FiveThirtyEight’s model of the Academy Awards, and forecasting that was one of the best parts of my job.

But there have been a number of considerable shifts in the way The Academy functions since the creation of that model, and I don’t think it’s going to remain reliable forever. Over the next few months, I’ll write about the development of a new riff on that Oscar forecast, and Michael will cover the intricacies of the campaign.

The goal is covering the Oscars race for what it is: a campaign for which we have legitimate data and legitimate efforts to influence the selection of an eventual victor.

Comes out weekly at most, at least until the last sprint.