Numlock Awards: A Ballot for All Categories

Give me the multiverse where Tár wins Best Picture.

Numlock Awards is your one-stop awards season newsletter, and it’s back! Every week, join Walt Hickey and Michael Domanico as they break down the math behind the Oscars and the best narratives going into film’s biggest night. Today’s edition comes from Michael.

Happy Oscars Day! 

It’s been super fun doing this newsletter again, and we’d like to thank you all for reading along during one of the craziest acting races in recent memory. As always, we’ll wrap up with a Q&A, so you can reply to this email with any questions for us. 

Here’s my final ballot for tonight. In some places I am following Walter’s model, in others I am not. I’ve highlighted my prediction in bold. Let me know how you all do on your own Oscar predictions! 

Best Picture:

• All Quiet on the Western Front

• Avatar: The Way of Water

• The Banshees of Inisherin

• Elvis

• Everything Everywhere All at Once

• The Fabelmans

• Tár

• Top Gun: Maverick

• Triangle of Sadness

• Women Talking

Best Director:

• Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin

• Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything Everywhere All at Once

• Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans

• Todd Field, Tár

• Ruben Ostlund, Triangle of Sadness

Best Actor: 

• Austin Butler, Elvis

• Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin

• Brendan Fraser, The Whale 

• Paul Mescal, Aftersun 

• Bill Nighy, Living

Best Actress:

• Cate Blanchett, Tár 

• Ana de Armas, Blonde 

• Andrea Riseborough, To Leslie 

• Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans 

• Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once 

Best Supporting Actor: 

• Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin 

• Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway

• Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans 

• Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin 

• Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once 

Best Supporting Actress: 

• Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

• Hong Chau, The Whale 

• Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin 

• Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once 

• Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once 

Best Original Screenplay: 

• The Banshees of Inisherin

• Everything Everywhere All at Once

• The Fabelmans

• Tár

• Triangle of Sadness 

Best Adapted Screenplay: 

• All Quiet on the Western Front 

• Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery 

• Living

• Top Gun: Maverick

• Women Talking

Best Animated Feature Film: 

• Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio 

• Marcel the Shell with Shoes On 

• Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

• The Sea Beast

• Turning Red

Best International Feature Film: 

• All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany)

• Argentina, 1985 (Argentina) 

• Close (Belgium) 

• EO (Poland) 

• The Quiet Girl (Ireland) 

Best Documentary Feature: 

• All That Breathes

• All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

• Fire of Love

• A House Made of Splinters

• Navalny 

Best Documentary Short Subject: 

• The Elephant Whisperers

• Haulout

• How Do You Measure a Year? 

• The Martha Mitchell Effect

• Stranger at the Gate 

Best Live Action Short Film: 

• An Irish Goodbye

• Ivalu

• Le pupille 

• Night Ride

• The Red Suitcase

Best Animated Short Film: 

• The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse 

• The Flying Sailor

• Ice Merchants

• My Year of Dicks

• An Ostrich Told Me the World Is Fake and I Think I Believe It 

Best Original Score: 

• All Quiet on the Western Front

• Babylon

• The Banshees of Inisherin

• Everything Everywhere All at Once 

• The Fabelmans 

Best Original Song: 

• “Applause” from Tell it Like a Woman 

• “Hold My Hand” from Top Gun: Maverick

• “Lift Me Up” from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 

• “Naatu Naatu” from RRR 

• “This Is a Life” from Everything Everywhere All at Once 

Best Sound: 

• All Quiet on the Western Front 

• Avatar: The Way of Water

• The Batman

• Elvis

• Top Gun: Maverick

Best Production Design: 

• All Quiet on the Western Front 

• Avatar: The Way of Water

• Babylon

• Elvis

• The Fabelmans 

Best Cinematography:

• All Quiet on the Western Front 

• Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths

• Elvis

• Empire of Light 

• Tár 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling: 

• All Quiet on the Western Front

• The Batman

• Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

• Elvis

• The Whale 

Best Costume Design: 

• Babylon

• Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

• Elvis

• Everything Everywhere All at Once

• Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris 

Best Film Editing: 

• The Banshees of Inisherin

• Elvis

• Everything Everywhere All at Once

• Tár 

• Top Gun: Maverick

Best Visual Effects: 

• All Quiet on the Western Front 

• Avatar: The Way of Water

• The Batman

• Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 

• Top Gun: Maverick 

Thanks for a super fun awards season! It’ll be a nail biter tonight in a ton of categories, so I’m sure there will be a lot to discuss afterward.

And like I said, we are doing another Oscars mailbag for next week! Send in questions, comments, feedback or thoughts by replying to this email or to awards@numlock.news today!